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Title of Article

A FAMILY OF PROBABILISTIC MODELS FOR THE EVOLUTIONARY EXPERIMENT


Issue
4
Date
2014

Article type
scientific article
UDC
519.21
Pages
350-360
Keywords
control systems, evolutionary experiment,


Authors
Fedotkin M.A.
Nizhegorodskiy gosuniversitet im. N.I. Lobachevskogo


Abstract
A class of randomized strategies has been proposed in [1-3] for selecting the desired model for a statistically steady experiment E whose probabilistic model (?, ?, P(?)) is unknown and belongs to some family {(?, ?, Pu(?)): u ? U} of permutation distributions. The main result of these works is the study of the family features and the fundamental features of permutation and quasi-permutation strategies for making decisions on the experiment E probabilistic model. The determination of the control system probabilistic model [4-6] is reduced to the solution of some optimization problem with regard to the information on a single trial of the experiment E. Being a continuation of [1-3], this work studies the problem of construction and features of a probability model family for the evolutionary experiment [7, 8] to reduce the extreme risk function or the probability of making a wrong decision on the choice of the model.

File (in Russian)